Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Recap — Sunday, April 12
Final Result
Arizona Diamondbacks defeated Philadelphia Phillies 4–3 on Sunday, April 12. Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.
AI Verdict
GameLens projected Philadelphia Phillies (56.8% AI win probability, 3/3 model consensus) based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. The headline pick (Philadelphia Phillies -134) did not cash. Across all 6 published markets, GameLens went 3-3.
Source: 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations, Elo ratings, and Poisson scoring models. Recap published: .
Model Breakdown
| Market | Pick | Odds | AI Win Prob. | Consensus | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | U 8.5 | -110 | 65.9% | 2/3 | Win |
| F5 Run Line | Philadelphia Phillies -0.5 | +114 | 50.8% | 3/3 | Loss |
| Run Line | Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 | -188 | 61.8% | 2/3 | Win |
| F5 Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -118 | -118 | 50.8% | 3/3 | Loss |
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -134 | -134 | 56.8% | 3/3 | Loss |
| F5 Total | U 4.5 | -108 | 66.4% | 2/3 | Win |