Pepperdine vs San Diego: AI Prediction — Jan 28, 2026
AI Prediction Summary
GameLens projects San Diego to defeat Pepperdine with a 65.5% win probability, based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations and a 3/3 model consensus (Monte Carlo, Elo, and Poisson). The projected spread is San Diego -2.5, and the headline pick (Moneyline: San Diego -150 at -150) carries an AI win probability of 65.5% against a market-implied probability of 60.0%.
Source: 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations, Elo ratings, and Poisson scoring models. Model run: .
Model Breakdown
| Market | Monte Carlo | Elo | Poisson | Consensus | AI Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | San Diego | San Diego | San Diego | 3/3 | 60.1% |
| Moneyline | San Diego | San Diego | San Diego | 3/3 | 65.5% |
| Total | Over | N/A | Over | 2/3 | 55.4% |
Key Factors
Detailed factor-level analysis (injury impact, recent form deltas, edge-vs-market calculations, and per-market expected value) is available to signed-in members. Sign in to view the full breakdown.
Betting Market Context
Current market pricing on the headline moneyline pick is San Diego -150 at -150, implying a market-priced probability of 60.0%. GameLens' AI model outputs a probability of 65.5% on this side — the difference between the two is what drives pick confidence. For live line movement, consensus reports, and steam alerts, see the NCAAB line-movement dashboard.